No-deal Brexit might put susceptible folks in danger, officers warn | Politics


A no-deal Brexit might end in failures of social care suppliers that will put susceptible adults in danger and significantly have an effect on councils and the NHS, in response to a leaked civil service doc.

The official warnings are contained inside a Division of Well being and Social Care presentation handed to the Guardian that has been ready for a gathering of its EU exit supply board to be held on Tuesday.

In a bit marked “key dangers”, the doc warns “susceptible adults” could possibly be “positioned in danger because of the wider impacts of EU exit and/or when statutory grownup companies/social care companies aren’t delivered”.

One of many particular dangers cited within the official presentation is “meals disruption”, referring presumably to an lack of ability to supply acceptable catering companies in a no-deal situation.

Different key dangers cited embody:

  • “Grownup social care supplier failure.” This might observe a pointy decline in profitability, workforce disruption due to uncertainty concerning the standing of EU staff within the UK and/or “disruption to the provision of medication”.

  • “Native authority failure.” The doc additionally warns failures of social care suppliers might in flip result in “native authority failure” as a result of they must hand again contracts to councils, having a dramatic influence on their charges and prices. That might in flip result in an lack of ability on the a part of councils “to fulfil statutory obligation to stability budgets”, amounting to a warning {that a} collapse within the social care sector might have huge monetary ramifications for native authorities.

  • Influence on the NHS. The presentation says “disruption to grownup social care can be more likely to have knock-on results on the NHS”, together with strain on GP companies, group healthcare and hospitals.

There are greater than 16,000 unbiased social care suppliers within the UK, with small and medium-sized suppliers accounting for 75% of the market.

The presentation concludes: “Our evaluation of the grownup social care supplier sector is that it’s already financially stretched and that cumulative impacts of a no-deal EU exit might result in supplier failures.”

Barbara Keeley, the shadow social care minister, stated: “That is a rare admission from the federal government that the catastrophic no-deal Brexit which this reckless prime minister is driving the nation in the direction of might endanger the lives of susceptible folks.

“This irresponsible Tory authorities has bled the social care system dry over the past 9 years via price range cuts, and this doc reveals {that a} calamitous no-deal Brexit might ship a mortal blow to the system.”

In November the sector regulator, the Care High quality Fee, wrote to dozens of native authorities to warn them aged folks could possibly be in danger if a big supplier, Allied Healthcare, failed. Ultimately, Allied was acquired by Fort Rock Group.

Because of this, the Division of Well being and Social Care held a contingency planning train on 19 February to check its response. Repeating the warnings, the doc stated that was as a result of “Brexit could trigger a number of suppliers to fail concurrently”.

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